By the start of the 1990s, the number of independents rose above the two others and – except for the three years immediately following George W. Bush’ reelection – remained so. Since 2008, the number of independents has quickly risen from below 36 percent to 43 percent in 2014. When factoring in the distinction between Democratic-leaning independents and Republican-leaning independents, an overall 45 percent of respondents said would be more likely to vote for a Democratic candidate. And over all, 42 percent of respondents are would be more likely to vote Republican.
- President-Elect Donald Trump’s upset victory in last month’s presidential election was not just a loss for Democrat Hillary Clinton — it also was a continuation of her party’s dramatically shrinking geographic footprint.
- Even as he lost the popular vote by 2.5 million votes, Trump carried 2,625 counties, compared with just 487 for Clinton.
- President Obama in 2008 won nearly twice as many counties, 875, according to data compiled by the University of Virginia Center for Politics.
“No only does it make it harder to amass at least 270 electoral votes needed to win presidential contests, it also makes it more difficult to win a majority of seats in the House of Representatives.”